Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.074187 0.086900 0.101087 0.118087 0.137901 0.160265 0.187425
2026-01-11 0.057175 0.073536 0.093510 0.119674 0.153033 0.194146 0.248683
2026-01-18 0.044678 0.062439 0.085925 0.119212 0.165158 0.226345 0.314065
2026-01-25 0.034501 0.052014 0.076915 0.114835 0.171084 0.251433 0.375008
2026-02-01 0.026842 0.043390 0.068541 0.109449 0.174262 0.272971 0.434831
2026-02-08 0.021816 0.037605 0.063125 0.107222 0.181444 0.301316 0.509753
2026-02-15 0.017818 0.032608 0.057915 0.104172 0.186518 0.326929 0.584678
2026-02-22 0.015311 0.029620 0.055437 0.105149 0.198358 0.365462 0.687951
2026-03-01 0.013063 0.026630 0.052357 0.104382 0.206793 0.399229 0.788415
2026-03-08 0.010909 0.023373 0.048152 0.100644 0.208846 0.421404 0.870743
2026-03-15 0.009457 0.021235 0.045717 0.099899 0.216535 0.455424 0.981849
2026-03-22 0.008604 0.020194 0.045320 0.103261 0.233178 0.509899 1.143932
2026-03-29 0.007809 0.019202 0.045014 0.107170 0.252626 0.575430 1.345866
2026-04-05 0.007000 0.018017 0.044079 0.109550 0.269296 0.638304 1.554770
2026-04-12 0.006169 0.016602 0.042344 0.109740 0.281015 0.692377 1.754357
2026-04-19 0.005260 0.014788 0.039292 0.106094 0.282757 0.723536 1.905303
2026-04-26 0.004446 0.013045 0.036068 0.101354 0.280822 0.745474 2.037796
2026-05-03 0.003878 0.011856 0.034059 0.099445 0.285989 0.786387 2.227889
2026-05-10 0.003363 0.010702 0.031911 0.096711 0.288384 0.820543 2.406721
2026-05-17 0.003044 0.010067 0.031105 0.097684 0.301522 0.886332 2.686989
2026-05-24 0.002716 0.009325 0.029834 0.097013 0.309735 0.939909 2.942777
2026-05-31 0.002356 0.008395 0.027800 0.093561 0.308828 0.966998 3.125199
2026-06-07 0.002112 0.007800 0.026702 0.092886 0.316560 1.021473 3.403229